Can Obama win? I'm not sure - and so (for the record) today I bet against him being President on the betting site Intrade. He's just not American enough for that parochial nation. So far it's been a clean sweep - Bush for President in 2004, Rudd for Australian PM in 2007, neither Clinton nor Edwards will be president in 2008 (well, the last two have a way to go, in theory)