The Brink of War?

[StevieWonders]

Yesterday here was poll about war. 65% support military operation, 22% against, rest are "I don't know". Putin's supporting rating grew from 64% to 71%.

That is encouraging

[Moses]

This includes a large percentage of Russian people who are risking imprisonment (or worse) for protesting against their government. Media coverage isn't as constrained as it was back in the 1920's. Video clips of the protests occurring across Russia are visible and easily accessible to the World.. This simply can't be hidden from public view...denied...or explained away as being a gross exaggeration or fake news. It's simply the truth for all the World to see.

The "large percentage" is in real life are few marginals... 1000-2000 daily per 145 mln nation distributed in 11 time zones - it is close to zero "percentage". Check poll results in my post above.

[Moses]

That is encouraging

Yes. It encourages 1+ million Russian refuges from the East of Ukraine who are living here for past 8 years.

[cdnmatt]

No companies can "pull" money right now: because Russia as an answer to sanctions adopted law what nobody can withdraw money from Russia now... investors may only locally "freeze" money now in Russian banks, but can't "evacuate" from Russia.

Yes, because I'm certain Exxon has $40 billion laying around in Rubles.

Nonetheless, losing folks like Exxon, Shell and BP is going to take a hit to Russia's oil and gas sector. Do you think Gazprom will just takeover and begin operating places like Sackland? Not likely, there's a reason all that work got outsourced to companies in the West instead of keeping it solely Russian.

Whatever, enjoy your 20 year long economic depression.

[cdnmatt]

Oh, and S&P downgraded Russia's credit rating to junk status.

[Moses]

Yes, because I'm certain Exxon has $40 billion laying around in Rubles.

Nonetheless, losing folks like Exxon, Shell and BP is going to take a hit to Russia's oil and gas sector. Do you think Gazprom will just takeover and begin operating places like Sackland? Not likely, there's a reason all that work got outsourced to companies in the West instead of keeping it solely Russian.

I don't think so. Drilling in Sakhalin is over. Now is pumping phase for next 15-20 years. Whole infrastructure is ready. So, nobody is worrying here. Yesterday Gazprom's shares were even in +12% in surplus.

Political pressure will be easy after few months - after Russia got needed results in Ukraine, and investors will come back, because Sakhalin sells gas and oil to China nonstop.

[Moses]

Oh, and S&P downgraded Russia's credit rating to junk status.

It is "very important for us, don't hang up phone". In situation when Russia can't borrow money, credit rating is just a graffiti on the wall. By the way: Ukrainian rating is 2 steps lower.

[Dodger]

Yesterday here was poll about war. 65% support military operation.......

Thanks for keeping us updated.

If 65% of Russians supported the "Military Operation", I wonder how many support the "Military Invasion"

If by chance "Operation" and "Invasion" mean the same thing, can we expect Ukrainian citizens to be running down the streets screaming..."The Russians are operating"..."the Russians are operating"???

[Moses]

Thanks for keeping us updated.

If 65% of Russians supported the "Military Operation", I wonder how many support the "Military Invasion".

Any numbers yet?

for sure more than there was supporters of military invasion to Iraq in EU...

[cdnmatt]

I don't think so. Drilling in Sakhalin is over. Now is pumping phase for next 15-20 years. Whole infrastructure is ready.

You do realize these aren't exactly "set it and forget it" type of operations, right? That's especially true in a place like Sackland, which is basically hell on earth except replace the fire and brimstone with the artic ocean, icebergs, and ice storms.