The Brink of War?

[Moses]

No, because you misunderstand what deflation is. It is a drop in inflation of 0.6% only - which is actually still above zero.

A drop from 13.7% to 13.1% is a lower inflation rate, but it is still way above a zero percent inflation rate (i.e., 0%) and is definitely not a negative rate.

For example, a zero percent interest on your bank account is written as 0%, not as a reduction in the interest rate from 13.7% to 13.1%.

Interestingly, official data for food prices contradicts your claims: "Cost of food in Russia increased 14.20 percent in September of 2022 over the same month in the previous year. source: Federal State Statistics Service" (https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/food-inflation).

It is you who don't understand what deflation is. Numbers 13.1, 13.7 etc are cumulative inflation in yearly measurement. When number decrease that means inflation in current time is negative. When on the week yearly inflation changes from 13.7 to 13.1 that means what inflation counted separately on this week is negative (i.e. deflation) and that has influence on yearly counted inflation - it contracts.

[Moses]

Again Moses, I would like to ask you, what's your version of victory here? What does Russia need to achieve in order for you to feel as though Russia has been victourious?

Me personally?

• A change in the government of Ukraine,
• the abolition of the language law,
• the recognition of the status of the Russian language as a regional official language in regions where more than 20% of Russians live,
• the prohibition of fascist symbols and ideology,
• the declaration of soldiers of SS divisions heroized in Ukraine as war criminals and the abolition of the renaming of streets named after them,
• changing the constitution of Ukraine in the part where it is declared that Ukraine will join NATO and introducing a statement about the neutral status of the country there.

And, of course, the recognition of Crimea as Russian, an apology for 8 years of bombings of the population of Donbass and Luhansk and recognition of their right to self-determination.

[Dragonman]

It is you who don't understand what deflation is. Numbers 13.1, 13.7 etc are cumulative inflation in yearly measurement. When number decrease that means inflation in current time is negative. When on the week yearly inflation changes from 13.7 to 13.1 that means what inflation counted separately on this week is negative (i.e. deflation) and that has influence on yearly counted inflation - it contracts.

I suggest you look at the diagram in this guide - "Statistical literacy guide - How to adjust for inflation (https://researchbriefings.files.parl...62/SN04962.pdf).

Any inflation rate about zero percent, even if it is falling, is still inflation. The fact that some journalists may refer to falls in inflation as deflation does not mean that deflation as occurred,

Even The Bank of Russia (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/press/event/?id=14243) reports, 17th October, 2022 - "Annual inflation slows down in most regions in September." The article does NOT mention the term deflation - and one would think the The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, doing business as the Bank of Russia, would know if the country is experiencing deflation or a decline in inflation!

[Moses]

I suggest you look at the diagram in this guide - "Statistical literacy guide - How to adjust for inflation (https://researchbriefings.files.parl...62/SN04962.pdf).

Any inflation rate about zero percent, even if it is falling, is still inflation. The fact that some journalists may refer to falls in inflation as deflation does not mean that deflation as occurred,

Even The Bank of Russia (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/press/event/?id=14243) reports, 17th October, 2022 - "Annual inflation slows down in most regions in September." The article does NOT mention the term deflation - and one would think the The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, doing business as the Bank of Russia, would know if the country is experiencing deflation or a decline in inflation!

looks like you cannot read... "even Bank of Russia " wrote clear "annual"... but I third time explain to you: weekly inflation may be positive and negative...

do you understand difference btw "cumulative" and "discrete"? cumulative (i.e. annual) inflation in Russia is now 13.1% (despite prognoses 25%), discrete inflation on week 41 is negative and that is reflected on cumulative (annual) inflation as contraction from 13,7 to 13,1

[Moses]

wow... most short ruled PM in UK? Trussonomic made her very bright but short living star on the political sky...

when you think more about sanctions than about own economic shit may happens... emotions, emotions...

[NitNoi]

"Lies, damned lies, and statistics" as popularized by Mark Twain. The CPI (or whatever they call it in Russia) is a noisy number.
Using the change over a year is reasonable but over one week is swamped by noise. Claiming deflation because the annual rate this week is marginally less that last week? See the above quote.

[Moses]

"Lies, damned lies, and statistics" as popularized by Mark Twain. The CPI (or whatever they call it in Russia) is a noisy number.
Using the change over a year is reasonable but over one week is swamped by noise. Claiming deflation because the annual rate this week is marginally less that last week? See the above quote.

Sure. But these "weeks" are going one by one 6 months already and trend is clearly visible - from 18% to 13,1 in yearly counting.

[Andy]

Meanwhile state duma (russian parliament) are ready to improve anti-gay law making any announcement about gay theme illegal in public and media, except in negative connotation. Even for openly declaring that your are gay can lead you to a huge fine or even imprisonment. Really Moses, I don't understand how you can stand for this bastards and being gay in the same time?

[cdnmatt]

Really Moses, I don't understand how you can stand for this bastards and being gay in the same time?

Obviously, his hatred of the West has scrambled his brain so much he's no longer capable of retional thinking.

[Moses]

Really Moses, I don't understand how you can stand for this bastards and being gay in the same time?

It is easy: for me "Russia" isn't equal "govt" or "Putin".