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Thread: The Brink of War?

  1. #2461
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    It is not my understanding of the terms that is the problem - it is yours.

    As I noted earlier (several times, I believe), there is some confusion about the terms but they have quite specific meanings - as the various sources I've mentioned state.

    But to simplify things: A weekly drop in inflation is negative inflation, i.e., falling prices over a short period.
    Negative inflation is often caused by a sharp drop in the price of certain goods or services - in the case of Russia, apparently food prices.
    Negative inflation is a general price decrease that is not sustainable.
    This is a temporary decrease that is part of a general trend of rising prices.

    Over the medium to long term, that is called deflation.
    The term deflation is used if the decline occurs over 3 consecutive quarters (so the general price trend is downward) or by some economists if the inflation rate is zero (the late Nobel Prize-winning US economist Milton Friedman was an advocate of zero inflation in monetary policy).

    Weekly fluctuations are, therefore, negative inflation.

    That is why, for example, there can be headlines like "Russia seen holding rates at 7.5% until year-end as inflation remains elevated" (https://www.reuters.com/markets/euro...ed-2022-09-30/), and why, in September 2022, the inflation rate in Russia reached 13.7 percent relative to the corresponding period of the previous year.

    So, to put it simply, weekly downward fluctuations in inflation rates do not constitute deflation but are negative inflation if there is still an inflation rate about zero percent.

    However, you can nourish your illusions by more insulting posts if you wish but I will not dignify them with a response,

  2. User who gave Like to post:

    Ruthrieston (October 21st, 2022)

  3. #2462
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    ===This is a temporary decrease that is part of a general trend of rising prices.===

    This is very brave conclusion. Totally wrong, stupid, since it never had base in real practice and science, but very brave. If you will proof it - you may get Nobel prize.

    That is why, for example, there can be headlines like "Russia seen holding rates at 7.5% until year-end as inflation remains elevated" (https://www.reuters.com/markets/euro...ed-2022-09-30/), and why, in September 2022, the inflation rate in Russia reached 13.7 percent relative to the corresponding period of the previous year.
    Again stupid question. Why you going to dispute while you know nothing about Russia and Russian economic? Do you think 7,5% is something bad? It is rate for to make unprofitable currency speculations with Russian ruble on local stock exchange. Than more volatile became currency market, then more high Central bank makes keyrate - for to press speculations down.

    Please take a look on historical records about keyrates of Central Bank in Russia:

    kl_stavka-1320x714.jpg
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  4. #2463
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    SHOT IN THE FOOT?

    LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Russia can access enough tankers to ship most of its oil beyond the reach of a new G7 price cap, industry players and a U.S. official told Reuters, underscoring the limits of the most ambitious plan yet to curb Moscow's wartime revenue.

    Bank JP Morgan sees the impact of the price cap as muted, with Russia almost completely skirting the ban by marshalling Chinese, Indian and its own ships - whose average age is nearly two decades old - relatively ancient by shipping standards.

    The G7 price cap plan agreed in September was shopped by the United States to industry players as a safety valve to total EU bans on Russian shipments ratified in June.

    That may have boomeranged back on the sanctioning countries by sending energy prices soaring amid an already deep cost of living crisis as a potential global recession looms.

    Daniel Ahn, a former chief economist at the U.S. State Department, says the countries sanctioning Russia overestimated their control of the global oil trade... "All it's going to do is reroute oil ... and make life difficult for everyone else, which is what is happening right now anyway," said Ahn "It's going to be less damaging than a complete seaborne import ban. They shot themselves in the foot, but they're now kind of trying to bandage it a bit."

    https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...ap-2022-10-21/
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  5. #2464
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  6. #2465
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    And Russia keeps getting pushed back. Major retreat announced today. Don't feel like looking up the proper spelling of the name and don't want to butcher it, but I'm sure you all know what major city I'm talking about.

  7. #2466
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    Quote Originally Posted by cdnmatt View Post
    And Russia keeps getting pushed back. Major retreat announced today. Don't feel like looking up the proper spelling of the name and don't want to butcher it, but I'm sure you all know what major city I'm talking about.
    Who knows plans? Maybe it is retreat, or maybe it is just trick to collect as many as possible Ukrainian military in one place on the south and make fast move to Kiev from North, where is just around 100km from the border. Name of city is Kherson.

    Kherson district is divided by Dnepr river on two parts: right by flow of Dnepr river, it is left on the map, western, and left by flow of Dnepr river eastern), it is right on the map. Historically eastern part was part of Russian Imperia since about 16th century and had name MaloRossia (in translation Small Russia) with border by Dnepr river from south (Black sea) till Belorussia (see black line on the map)

    Now Russia keeps eastern bank and retreats from western (see red line on the map).

    1668082530428.jpg
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  8. #2467
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    Quote Originally Posted by Moses View Post
    Who knows plans? Maybe it is retreat, or maybe it is just trick to collect as many as possible Ukrainian military in one place on the south and make fast move to Kiev from North
    Yep, maybe. Or maybe disease ridden criminals and mobilized conscripts with little training and equipment don't make the greatest fighting force in the world.

  9. #2468
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    Quote Originally Posted by cdnmatt View Post
    Yep, maybe. Or maybe disease ridden criminals and mobilized conscripts with little training and equipment don't make the greatest fighting force in the world.
    Mobilized conscripts aren't in fights: they are used as peacekeepers on acquired territories. That why they were need - to free regular army from such job. Also that why here in news we have only 2-3 messages per week about deaths of mobilized (I mean all news channels, not only state TV, but also channels in Telegram and other medias including medias of opposition).
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  10. #2469
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    The Motley Crew that Putin's assembled to represent his Military Force has retreated from Kherson (and other towns) for one reason and one reason only - and that's to avoid having his ill-trained forces overwhelmed and slaughtered.

    It's hard to imagine this major retreat being a "trick", because if it was, Zelinsky and his commanders have been reading about it in the news for weeks. What kind of "trick" is that? To even suggest this is almost laughable.

  11. User who gave Like to post:

    Ruthrieston (November 12th, 2022)

  12. #2470
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    Re: The Brink of War?

    There's reports out that the Russian infantry currentry comprises of three lines. First line is the criminals they grabbed out of pison, second is the mobilized conscripts, and third is the actual Russian military.

    The third line's job is to shoot anyone in the front two lines who tries to run and retreat.

  13. User who gave Like to post:

    Ruthrieston (November 12th, 2022)

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