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Thread: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

  1. #1
    Forum's veteran Manforallseasons's Avatar
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    Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    https://www.thaipbsworld.com/covid-1...eek-ccsa-says/

    New COVID-19 infections could surge to 10,000 a day next week, almost doubling this week’s daily figures as more Delta variant cases have been found, according to the Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) today (Wednesday).

    Thailand’s COVID-19 infections surged to 6,519 across the country today, with many of them in Bangkok and northeastern provinces being by the Delta variant, according to CCSA Assistant Spokesperson Dr. Apisamai Srirangsan, who said the continued surge in cases especially of the Delta variant could be attributed to interprovincial movements whereby infections from Bangkok and nearby provinces have now spread to 40 other provinces.

    With more Delta variant found in Bangkok, overtaking Alpha, the more contagious Delta could cause COVID-19 infections to double, she said.


    "In the land of the blind the one eyed man is king"

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    Forum's veteran cdnmatt's Avatar
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    Re: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    Next week, they're expected to reach 10,000 cases/day.

    Wait 3 weeks for 20k/day. Exponential growth is a bitch.

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    Re: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    China, having spread COVID-19, now stands accused of delivering a vaccine that’s less effective with every new variant - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/...ne-2021-07-08/

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    Re: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    Quote Originally Posted by cdnmatt View Post
    Next week, they're expected to reach 10,000 cases/day.

    Wait 3 weeks for 20k/day. Exponential growth is a bitch.
    Three weeks for growth to double is way less than exponential growth - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth

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    Re: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    You need three points (time, number) to determine which kind of growth takes place.
    From now and one week ago, or now and in three weeks, you cannot tell.

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    Re: Thailand Expected to Reach 10,000 Covid Infections Daily

    Quote Originally Posted by christianpfc View Post

    You need three points (time, number) to determine which kind of growth takes place. From now and one week ago, or now and in three weeks, you cannot tell.
    All people need to know is that it's going from a LITTLE to a LOT because of the Delta variant and lack of vaccine. That's all that really matters.

    As far as measuring (or predicting) the exponential growth rate, you'd be more accurate by just closing your eyes and tossing a dart at a wall. It's all conjecture (an ansatz), and the data that's being reported is skewed to hell and back anyway. The tracking and reporting of statistical data in Thailand is a systemically flawed process and highly inaccurate. That's the bottom line.

    Just yesterday, the percentage of vaccinated people in Thailand was reported as being 8% by one leading newspaper...only 4.5 % by another...and then 12% by the the CCSA following their meeting yesterday. Nobody has the foggiest clue.

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