Oddly enough opinion polls are polls of opinions not polls of facts.Originally Posted by cdnmatt
Oddly enough opinion polls are polls of opinions not polls of facts.
How can you have a poll of “facts”?
Think quantum. However I was simply responding to Matt’s poor communication skills. He’s not the only one - a447 and he are in a race to the bottom and probably for the same underlying reason.
Today’s gross (including overseas’ acquired) figure is 2,012 which is the 3rd day on which raw figures are stabilising around 2,100 rather than growing exponentially as they did a week ago. It’s also the first day recently where the indicator (typically a 7- or 8-day moving average) exceeds the raw figures. Although its ascent is not so steep it hasn’t flattened out but it’s an encouraging sign. Mind you we were in this position a week ago; it’s important to remember that one swallow doesn’t make a boyfriend … er, Spring.
I have just been chatting to a thai friend of mine (I'm not in thailand) and he is of the opinion that the rate of infection is higher than the government is saying, because many people are not keen on getting tested because of having to pay. I asked him about the thai government paying for the test and he said they only pay if any body that you have been in contact with has the virus, other wise u have to self fund.Not sure if this is correct but as I said I'm not in Thailand , so it could be that he has the wrong info.
fedssocr (April 29th, 2021)
1 If that's true, it's one clear incentive not to be tested.
2 Also, the Thai government does like sending people to hospital for covid, whether they need treatment or not. I can't imagine many asymptomatic people would be keen on being incarcerated in one of those field hospitals.
Or worse still, imagine being tested, getting a false positive and getting sent off to share a field hospital with infected people ? No thank you !
Testing at one's own cost only really gets beneficial, if one has symptoms and the hospitals are offering some of the effective treatments.
If testing is needed for the benefit of the community, then the government should pay.
Bad news for all the Chicken Littles out there - yesterday’s total was almost 1,000 less than barely a week ago - 2,839 last Saturday, 1,871 yesterday. That’s less than both the weekly and fortnightly averages of new cases, although neither of those lagging indicators has yet peaked.
One swallow still doesn’t make a boyfriend however.
Where do you get your stats from? They're always right, but more up to date than mine. I have a little scraper that grabs the countries I'm interested in from the worldometer site, but it's always a few hours behind your stats.
I subscribe to a number of Twitter feeds - @ThaiPBSWorld, @ThaiNewsReports, @BangkokPostNews, @KhaosodEnglish. They all report within a few minutes of each other around this time of day. @ThaiNewsReports focuses on COVID news.
I maintain my own spreadsheet on trends and use the Fibonacci numbers as the basis of the averages.
That sounds like a lot of work. I'll stick with my current method of typing "kovid" in the terminal, and out comes a list of new cases and deaths for that day of countries I'm interested in.
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