Quote Originally Posted by a447 View Post
I've given up on a trip this year - it isn't going to happen.
I'm aiming for mid to late 2022.
Considering the Thai side of things, there's 8 whole months between now and the end of the year.
The current wave in Thailand will have plenty of time to go up to whatever peak it reaches, then come down again. If Thailand gets it's act together and manufactures some of that vaccine it licensed, that will also help the downtrend later in the year. I don't expect a barrier from the Thai side.

Of course, home country regulations come into it. When the leaders of Australia, UK etc are currently creating penal colonies by preventing outbound travel, that also needs to be considered. I imagine UK restrictions will be lifted. If not, I'll investigate the loopholes later in the year.

The way forward is to be prepared to book a trip at short notice. I still expect to be in Thailand again this year. Not certain, but well over 50% probability.