>Newsweek Oct. 31, 2005 issue - A landmark study with major implications for the
> global AIDS epidemic, published this week by French and South African
> researchers, seems to confirm what scientists have long suspected: that
> circumcision cuts the risk of HIV infection dramatically, by as much as
> 60 percent
I don't believe for a second. Here is why:
1. We do know a lot about HIV transmission, and this flies in the face
of most of it. There are really only two efficient transmission methods
that we know of: through the anal walls (very thin, easily torn,
exposing blood vessels to virus contained in semen) and needle sharing.
The risk to a male who is not receiving anal sex is rather miniscule. I
could see someone studying whether circumcision may affect the ability
to TRANSMIT HIV, but not to RECEIVE it.
2. There is a lot a terribly conducted politically motivated AIDS
research coming out of Africa. Some of it falls into the realm of pure
fabrication. This is one of the things that has frustrated the
international community, making them very reticent to become directly
involved in the fight against AIDS there. For example, there is an AIDS
epidemic in large parts of Africa, but sexual behavior surveys do not
reveal any significant risk factors. Anal sex and nonheterosexual
contact are generally found to be denied, which is a baffling finding
to begin with (all cultures exhibit both behaviors at least to some
degree). This is an impossible contradiction: an AIDS epidemic cannot
be maintained through nonanal sexual contact. We also know that Brazil,
which share many cultural practices with parts of Africa, has both a
high rate of AIDS and one of the highest rates of anal sex in the world
(extimated to be as high at 50% of the population, mainly used as cheap
birth control). There is likely a systematic denial of sexual practices
going on in the scientific community in Africa.