Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
And yet the latest poll put only 4% gap between YES and NO (undecideds excluded), therefore only a 2% swing is required for parity and 3% for YES to win
Three separate polls last weekend had YES up 4% in a week and NO down 4%
Plus, YES voters are far more likely to vote than NO, and pundits think that could be worth 2% to YES
Also, Wm Hill saying over 90% of bets in Scotland are for YES.
So, it's credible to suggest there's some manipulation of the odds going on from south of the border - with 2 widely reported (in the mainstream media) huge bets of ┬г200,000 being placed by NO supporters. ┬г400,000 on NO is bound to affect the odds.
Bookmakers odds reflect the money placed on each possible outcome, nothing more.
http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
You're doubtless familiar with Burns' To A Louse
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
My dear boy, I'm as familiar with the Burns poem "To a Louse" as he must have been to you when he wrote it.
:))
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
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Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
Some months ago I would have put the prospect of Scottish independence at 60/40 against.
I get the feeling that the difference is as thin as a haggis skin now that decision time is nigh.
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaiguest
Some months ago I would have put the prospect of Scottish independence at 60/40 against. I get the feeling that the difference is as thin as a haggis skin now that decision time is nigh.
For me the most entertaining outcome would be a win for the "Yes" vote of something like 50.1%. We'd then be able to watch Alex Salmonella running around trying to make it work while anyone with any money or/and an ounce of self-preservation would be moving their money and probably themselves to England.
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
That would be the rump UK (England) ┬г1.6 trillion in debt, governed by a Tory/UKIP coalition/confidence & supply Govt after 2015, devoid of North Sea Oil revenues, 1/3 of its land mass, 9% of its population, saddled with unwanted unaffordable and unusable WMDs, and fast tracking itself out of the EU?
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
Quote:
Originally Posted by scottish-guy
That would be the rump UK (England) ┬г1.6 trillion in debt, governed by a Tory/UKIP coalition/confidence & supply Govt after 2015, devoid of North Sea Oil revenues, 1/3 of its land mass, 9% of its population, saddled with unwanted unaffordable and unusable WMDs, and fast tracking itself out of the EU?
Dinna fash yersel, laddie. North Sea oil revenues are falling and the 9% of the population is greying more rapidly than us. I'm not sure of the logic of someone who wants to fast track his own country out of a common market (the UK) but sees England fast tracking itself out of the other common market (the EU) as a significant problem. I'd join the dots, if I were you. Your argument reminds me of the gaggle of blondes who enter a bar chanting "24 weeks, 24 weeks". When challenged by the barman their spokeswoman replies "We did the jigsaw in only 24 weeks but on the box it says '2 - 4 years'".
Re: New bar opened in old Topman,the Scotland Discussion
1. Oh, what a burden it will be when the "falling oil revenues" from the remaining 24 Billion barrels of oil (UK Oil & Gas UK estimate) have to be shared amongst 5 million ppl instead of 65 million :)) What utter tosh!
2. This just in - people age at the same rate the world over. Problem for Scotland is that currently our young people have to LEAVE to find opportunities, and we are saddled with an inappropriate immigration policy which e.g. throws qualified students out as soon as they graduate - therefore we have fewer working age people to support the retired. With full control we can reduce economic emigration and also have a controlled immigration policy in place to suit Scotland rather than the South East of England. Our country is half empty - plenty of scope to grow the economy. Our older people don't age quicker, but unfortunately they do DIE a lot sooner, so with a growing workforce the problem is manageable.
3. How exactly would an independent Scotland be fast-tracking itself out of the UK market? Are you advocating a Scottish trade boycott by the rump UK? If so, you realise that would be illegal under EU law? Ridiculous argument!
You are the personification of the NO campaign - all doom and gloom and nothing positive to say whatsoever. Scotland can be an extremely successful independent nation, but all you want to do is be 100% negative and run us down. Well the response to that is in the polls today narrowing yet further - we are going to win this, YES has the momentum. NO has nothing to offer except austerity and despair - and you're welcome to it.
:ymparty: