Obama - 47.9 and falling

Intrade has Obama at a $47.90 chance to win the presidential election. Readers may remember I sold him when he was a $61.60 chance. McCain is a $50.80 chance to win. I'm sitting on my hands. Oh, and I sold the Dow at $60 to be at or above 11000 by year's end end. That one is currently bid at $51. It may be a good New Year's Eve party this year, although I've had to strike Doris O'Booze off the list of invitees - fondling the champagne waiters before midnight is bad form

What are your fees, Colonel, to manage such gambling for me? Perhaps we can form a little syndicate. With your track record we should do well.

[Lunchtime O'Booze]

"fondling the champagne waiters before midnight is bad form"

I've told you before-it's not their bollocks I want but their bottles. :drunken:

I think I'll take a wager on Obama..losing. The fix is in. Any country that votes via computer is in the grips of madness.

What are your fees, Colonel, to manage such gambling for me? Perhaps we can form a little syndicate. With your track record we should do well.PM me, dear boy

"fondling the champagne waiters before midnight is bad form"

I've told you before-it's not their bollocks I want but their bottles. :drunken:

I think I'll take a wager on Obama..losing. The fix is in. Any country that votes via computer is in the grips of madness.

Well, I'm not totally convinced that voting via computer is such an awful idea. It would, of course, require lots of checking and stuff which us ordinary folks might not want to do.

But where in the world do people vote "via computer?" Those places may indeed be "in the grips of madness," but where are they?

By the way, and staying TRUE to the Original Poster, the current polls show Nobama at 47%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Just another rabid right-wing wacko, but yours sincerely,

Henri

HenriHas Henry added pretentiousness to his other attributes?

[Lunchtime O'Booze]

polls polls..they change by the day and mean little. I don't have a friggin clue who this Rasmussen is but I'm sure he is an honest bloke.

I'd say-that a country that is seriously considering as a man for president, a 72 year old with medical problems and the intelligence (?) of George Bush ( but not the folksy charm or humour..wacky as he is) plus a moose killer who thinks she knows all about foreign affairs because she can "see" Russia across the water..is in the GRIPS OF MADNESS ! :geek:

none of it bothers me..the country is going bust by the day. As God Vidal said.."America was a wonderful idea while it lasted !"

( I still like Texans though)

... I've just closed out all my bets on US politics at a very tidy profit; I've better things to do with my money than having it tied up in holding costs until the contracts expire. However shorting the Dow at 11,000 by year's end still has some way to run, so that position remains open - taken, of course, well before the madness of the past few days

polls polls..they change by the day and mean little. I don't have a friggin clue who this Rasmussen is but I'm sure he is an honest bloke.

I'd say-that a country that is seriously considering as a man for president, a 72 year old with medical problems and the intelligence (?) of George Bush ( but not the folksy charm or humour..wacky as he is) plus a moose killer who thinks she knows all about foreign affairs because she can "see" Russia across the water..is in the GRIPS OF MADNESS ! :geek:

none of it bothers me..the country is going bust by the day. As God Vidal said.."America was a wonderful idea while it lasted !"

( I still like Texans though)

Well, polls do change, but you should, at least once look up http://www.rasmussenreports.com/.

I guess you are not aware that Reagan was 71 when sworn into office.

"Moose-killer?" Come on and be serious about this, Mr. O'B. I remember, while in Iran, participating in the butchering of a lamb (and the subsequent barbecue, which was very tasty!) And some friend said "O you are so blood-thirsty Henry I could never pal around with a guy like you." And then they ran down to the supermarket and bought lamb chops.

Killing lambs is just fine as long as I don't have to see it! Is that your opinion, Mr. O'B?

My current boyfriend is Akha, and Akha like to eat dogs! Fortunately, they never eat their own pet dogs.

And, also by the way, you can actually see Russia from Alaska. Duh. Do you own a globe?

Again, I have been as surprised as anyone by this Sarah Palin phenomenon. But I had decided against The One months ago. I think he is the worst candidate for President in American history. He's racist, anti-American, and socialist...but he just doesn't want to make that clear, for obvious reasons.

Mr. O'B. What about Jeremiah Wright? What about Bill Ayers?

Even more scary....there are those who say that Obama is Ayers' creature. Don't forget...the reason Ayers got off is that he's RICH.

[Bob]

Henry, regardless of your disdain for Obama, I can't possibly fathom that you could possibly think that Palin is qualified to either be president or vice president.

Whether Obama, Biden, McCain, or Mickey Mouse is or isn't qualified is quite separate from the questions about Palin's qualifications. Were she a man, there'd be no question about that in anybody's mind in my opinion (and, yes, I think McCain picked her primarily because she's a woman). Worst judgment I've ever seen McCain make and I have admired McCain personally for many years.

[Davey612]

[But I had decided against The One months ago. I think he is the worst candidate for President in American history. He's racist, anti-American, and socialist...but he just doesn't want to make that clear, for obvious reasons.

Mr. O'B. What about Jeremiah Wright? What about Bill Ayers?

Even more scary....there are those who say that Obama is Ayers' creature. Don't forget...the reason Ayers got off is that he's RICH.

I am not surprised about these statements given the context of your rant about Black people while you were living in the San Francisco bay area.

We NEVER talk about Barack Obama, and his qualifications to be the President.

No. We change the subject. And then we can bitch about Sarah Palin all we like. We don't have to bother defending Nobama. We can just attack Sarah.

Funny thing. Sarah Palin has a lot more experience in elected office than Nobama. But we won't address that.


Not being a pollster I have little to lose by predicting the race, and of course there's a lot of water yet to pass under the bridge -- events, debates, revised strategies etc. But right now I don't see this as a close race. If the present trend holds, McCain-Palin will win 331 electoral votes to 203 for Obama-Biden.

I think it's already evident that the current toss-up, lean-McCain and lean-Obama states likely to fall to McCain include Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Washington, Montana, North Dakota, Colorado, and Ohio. If you add Michigan, the above total becomes 348-186.

The pivotal state in these calculations is Pennsylvania which has twenty crucial electoral votes and hasn't gone Republican in a presidential election since 1988. A Zogby poll today shows McCain up by 5 points in Pennsylvania. Zogby and most of the other polls have a long history of underestimating Republican strength. If Pennsylvania goes for McCain it's a pretty safe bet that the other states mentioned will also go McCain.

If McCain-Palin win in a landslide, you read it here first.

A big prize for those who can guess who wrote that.

And, in the meantime, aren't Sarah's eyeglasses like, totally weird? And isn't it stupid that some fools are complaining about university libraries blocking access to the public records of the Nobama-Ayers relationship?

And, if some Idiot points out that American blacks do a lot of crime, why, pile the blame on him!!

By the way, for anyone who is actually interested in this "racism" question, there is one enigma which drives liberals crazy. This enigma is a well-known group of black immigrants from the Caribbean. (Colin Powell is an example.) The very strange thing about these blacks is that they actually make more money, on the average, than whites. (WHAT?) Yes, indeed. They are indeed black, and, according to the operating Liberal Theory, they should be subject to the same Horrific Racism as the African-American blacks. But -- somehow -- they earn more than whites.

And people who point this out are automatically banished to the place for Thought Criminals.

[Bob]

Funny thing. Sarah Palin has a lot more experience in elected office than Nobama. But we won't address that.

Huh? Doing yaba again? Let's see: Ms. Palin was Mayor of a 6000+ population town, previously on it's town council, and now has been governor of Alaska (600,000 people) for not quite 19 months. And you're saying that's a "lot more experience" than Obama (8 years as a state senator and 4 years as US Senator - not mentioning his years as a community organizer or teaching constitutional law for 10 years....). You gotta be kidding.

Here's an interesting graph I pulled from one website on experience of some presidents/candidates:

PresidentCandidate State Legislature Governorship U.S. House U.S. Senate

Abraham Lincoln 8 0 2 0

John F. Kennedy 0 0 6 8

Jimmy Carter 4 6 0 0

Ronald Reagan 0 8 0 0

George W. Bush 0 6 0 0

Barack Obama 8 0 0 4

Hillary Rodham Clinton 0 0 0 8

(If I add Palin)

Palin 0 18+ mos. 0 0

..although OF COURSE everyone following US politics knows that Hillary attacked Nobama on the "experience issue" and lost.

The really serious issues about Barack Obama are only beginning to surface. Take this for one. After a dull introduction, Obama reveals his "true feelings" (whatever they might be) about the so-called Reverend Jeremiah Wright. Remember him? "God Damn America!!" Obama's pastor for TWENTY YEARS??!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qpzHQ_PC1uI

It's "only just starting to come out", is it? Come on. Rght-wing lunatics have had nearly a year to try to dig up dirt on Obama. Whatever there is (and there ain't much) is already out there.

I personally don't see how anyone could vote for McCain as long as Palin is on the ticket. Do you really want to elect for a four-year job a man whose life expectancy runs out in three, with an ignorant, white-trash slut like Palin waiting in the wings? I'd really like to know what the Republicans are thinking. Oh, right...I forgot that Republicans aren't the swiftest sector of American society. Just look at the map at intrade.com: the red states cut a huge swath through the midwest and South. In other words, the moron belt.

Besides talking about what a great man John McCain is on тАЬThe ViewтАЭ and тАЬDavid Letterman,тАЭ Bill praised Palin at his Clinton Global Initiative meeting in New York and will receive her there on Thursday.

тАЬI come from Arkansas. I get why she is hot out there,тАЭ he said authoritatively, adding: тАЬPeople look at her, and they say, тАШAll those kids. Something that happens in everybodyтАЩs family. IтАЩm glad she loves her daughter and sheтАЩs not ashamed of her. Glad that girlтАЩs going around with her boyfriend. Glad theyтАЩre going to get married.тАЩ тАЭ He said voters would think: тАЬI like that little Down syndrome kid. One of them lives down the street. TheyтАЩre wonderful. ... And I like the idea that this guy does those long-distance races. Stayed in the race for 500 miles with a broken arm. My kind of guy.тАЭ

On тАЬThe View,тАЭ he said he understood that some women might vote for Palin on the basis of gender, even if it was against their economic interest. тАЬYou canтАЩt tell someone else that the ground on which they make their voting decision is irrational,тАЭ he said primly.

Meanwhile, on Intrade, Obama's back above 50 -