StevieWonders
July 7th, 2021, 07:08
Post Delta, there will be another variant
We already know, from Israel, that one of our current vaccines (Pfizer) is less effective against catching the Delta variant, although the vaccination generally results in fewer symptoms and fewer deaths
The Chinese vaccines are barely worth having (maybe 50% effective)
Travel will be restricted to the vaccinated and (probably) testing before and after departure from the home country will be mandatory, adding to the costs of travel
Costs of travel and the likelihood of a Phuket Sandbox-style entry persisting will inhibit short-time (14/21-day) holidays
A poorly-vaccinated population will increase the risk of tourists catching a (asymptomatic) COVID variant, which may in turn add to their costs when they return to their home country (if the home country also requires a test)
Poorly-vaccinated Chinese tourists will add to the risk of a further spread of one or more variants
Bar numbers will decline, as the changing tourist demographic and numbers will mean fewer customers and so fewer bars
The number of ex-pats retiring to Thailand will decline because of (1) a realisation of what might might happen "next time", and (2) fewer bars
The "2019 normal" isn't coming back
We already know, from Israel, that one of our current vaccines (Pfizer) is less effective against catching the Delta variant, although the vaccination generally results in fewer symptoms and fewer deaths
The Chinese vaccines are barely worth having (maybe 50% effective)
Travel will be restricted to the vaccinated and (probably) testing before and after departure from the home country will be mandatory, adding to the costs of travel
Costs of travel and the likelihood of a Phuket Sandbox-style entry persisting will inhibit short-time (14/21-day) holidays
A poorly-vaccinated population will increase the risk of tourists catching a (asymptomatic) COVID variant, which may in turn add to their costs when they return to their home country (if the home country also requires a test)
Poorly-vaccinated Chinese tourists will add to the risk of a further spread of one or more variants
Bar numbers will decline, as the changing tourist demographic and numbers will mean fewer customers and so fewer bars
The number of ex-pats retiring to Thailand will decline because of (1) a realisation of what might might happen "next time", and (2) fewer bars
The "2019 normal" isn't coming back